id stringlengths 10 20 | slug stringlengths 11 53 | question stringlengths 9 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,752B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 1k 1.38M | pred_category stringclasses 6 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 29 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s63cnkvgxu | zygmunt-solorz-dead-before-february | Zygmunt Solorz dead before February 2025? | null | 1,728,345,592,516 | 1,738,364,340,000 | 1,738,526,837,355 | NO | 0.087065 | 2,365 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
h0Z2AIIgyL | will-trent-alexander-arnold-extend | Will Trent Alexander Arnold extend his Liverpool contract? | null | 1,729,873,313,560 | 1,750,210,687,843 | 1,750,210,687,843 | NO | 0.007768 | 13,778.023535 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ZLLqclSnq2 | will-the-center-for-ai-policy-reach | Will the Center for AI Policy reach their minimum funding goal by 6/16/2025? | null | 1,746,743,786,903 | 1,750,031,940,000 | 1,750,057,317,975 | NO | 0.01 | 1,980.867345 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
AlAEZcAIgC | will-o3minihigh-conclude-eating-mea | Will o3-mini-high conclude eating meat is ethically wrong based off of your arguments? | null | 1,739,315,039,439 | 1,745,384,340,000 | 1,745,462,863,674 | YES | 0.853451 | 3,429.876426 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
LIlQPUc69I | will-trump-state-that-ukraine-shoul | Will Trump state that Ukraine should agree to not receiving arms during a ceasefire in the next 30 days? | null | 1,741,888,572,033 | 1,744,498,740,000 | 1,744,581,626,065 | NO | 0.113245 | 2,230.800781 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
55P5ULLCZ5 | will-the-australian-election-campai | Will the Australian election campaign have a ‘Russiagate’ controversy? | null | 1,743,953,494,552 | 1,746,486,000,000 | 1,746,495,794,792 | NO | 0.010101 | 1,793.67692 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZQdNlAzl8N | will-the-eo-barring-transgender-us | Will the EO barring transgender US citizens from renewing passports be even partially overturned by end of 2025? | null | 1,738,632,501,583 | 1,751,463,993,693 | 1,751,463,993,693 | YES | 0.766159 | 4,507.975365 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
fkq3gnxydn | will-manchester-city-win-the-premie-cv0zf5df2q | Will Manchester City win the Premier League before their game on May 18, two games left to play? | null | 1,726,580,372,585 | 1,742,181,522,582 | 1,742,181,522,582 | NO | 0.01 | 24,817.175934 | Sports | Professional Sports |
6kcq9jm2v5 | if-trump-is-elected-president-will-d82xzhnd4h | If Trump is elected president, will he appoint Kennedy to a government position by the end of 2026? | null | 1,724,445,089,714 | 1,739,465,167,939 | 1,739,465,167,939 | YES | 0.969622 | 9,330.049988 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sIO2ZUQq5C | will-there-be-at-least-1000-deaths | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | null | 1,737,522,114,469 | 1,751,679,951,167 | 1,751,679,951,167 | YES | 0.99 | 31,641.579752 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
yptgUcOPZh | will-manifold-go-after-me-for-my-ne | Will Manifold go after me for my negative Sweepcash balance before June? | null | 1,733,939,315,822 | 1,742,604,310,037 | 1,742,604,310,037 | NO | 0.01 | 10,381.089583 | Finance | Personal Finance |
i2n3fv0qgy | on-jan-1-2025-will-new-replit-users | On jan 1 2025, will new replit users be allowed to create at least 10 repls? | null | 1,721,077,662,140 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,708,754,012 | NO | 0.048078 | 3,461 | Technology | Computing & Software |
u6gIIQC0sE | daily-coinflip-NsUngz09gz | Daily coinflip | null | 1,736,761,883,968 | 1,736,917,140,000 | 1,736,927,593,520 | YES | 0.503917 | 11,923.681335 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
RN5cSLZ2E2 | will-the-next-attempt-to-arrest-sou | Will the next attempt to arrest South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol result in at least one (1) fatality? | null | 1,736,181,652,003 | 1,736,966,227,667 | 1,736,966,227,667 | NO | 0.012957 | 8,517 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
hR8lhRO9gz | do-professional-economic-forecaster | Do professional economic forecasters expect a US recession (two quarters negative GDP growth) to begin in 2025? | null | 1,745,456,790,092 | 1,747,404,313,512 | 1,747,404,313,512 | NO | 0.01 | 201,827.802948 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
cCgIAIpRPt | will-josh-allen-be-the-20242025-nfl--cash | Will Josh Allen be the 2024-2025 NFL MVP? | null | 1,730,485,326,896 | 1,738,908,865,690 | 1,738,908,865,690 | YES | 0.993793 | 2,431.298692 | Sports | Professional Sports |
It6PLcOPI8 | will-the-first-nintendo-switch-2-ed | Will the first "Nintendo Switch 2 Edition" games allow multiple consoles/accounts to get the upgrades? | null | 1,743,883,587,171 | 1,749,316,448,943 | 1,749,316,448,943 | YES | 0.99 | 10,389.09293 | Technology | Gaming |
22h8uLQP6A | will-the-laxmetro-transit-center-st | Will the LAX/Metro Transit Center station open in Los Angeles before the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,621,862,508 | 1,749,417,232,222 | 1,749,417,232,222 | YES | 0.99 | 9,067.493419 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
tO9u0ytpLu | will-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-CIREph2qpP | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates in February 2025? | null | 1,738,927,906,728 | 1,739,849,525,181 | 1,739,849,525,181 | YES | 0.989948 | 9,855 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
0lO0sC8pPu | pierre-polievre-loses-his-seat-in-t | Pierre Polievre loses his seat in the election? | null | 1,745,633,074,415 | 1,746,034,053,513 | 1,746,034,053,513 | YES | 0.970218 | 1,804.020778 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZI8CsNuQsA | grok-3-api-available-to-developers | Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025 | null | 1,740,678,583,845 | 1,744,253,294,552 | 1,744,253,294,552 | YES | 0.982372 | 1,558.436178 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
lUtPdOsyA2 | will-the-kremlin-agree-and-implemen | Will the Kremlin agree and implement an unconditional cease fire before then end of May 2025? | null | 1,746,883,251,088 | 1,748,822,340,000 | 1,748,829,890,617 | NO | 0.010577 | 1,085.361759 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
sInIOO2IEy | will-we-learn-that-a-person-who-has | Will we learn that a person who has been deported to El Salvador by March 17th was an American citizen? | null | 1,742,209,760,714 | 1,747,748,566,853 | 1,747,748,566,853 | NO | 0.030295 | 8,051.733477 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
IIgl9NcS0s | will-jalen-hurts-score-a-touchdown | Will Jalen Hurts score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX? | null | 1,738,332,591,450 | 1,739,146,282,029 | 1,739,146,282,029 | YES | 0.99 | 9,821.660309 | Sports | Professional Sports |
EPLyNAlLAs | will-a-tax-on-unrealized-capital-ga | Will a tax on unrealized capital gains take effect in Australia by 1 July? | null | 1,749,055,809,818 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,560,563,400 | NO | 0.018965 | 13,057.235887 | Finance | Personal Finance |
2y7ql7xhi5 | will-donald-trump-say-the-word-pale | Will Donald Trump say the word “Palestine” between now and the election? | null | 1,721,961,777,008 | 1,730,897,940,000 | 1,735,690,784,514 | NO | 0.06738 | 1,814.884147 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PLtpOONu2c | ai-digests-agent-village-completes-nRdQZhs05R | AI Digest's Agent Village completes story and celebrates with 10+ people? | null | 1,748,978,553,031 | 1,750,429,552,558 | 1,750,429,552,558 | YES | 0.980825 | 7,952.575358 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
IQ0st986zy | daily-coinflip-6hptyUAtII | Daily coinflip | null | 1,738,562,341,271 | 1,738,731,540,000 | 1,738,739,912,370 | NO | 0.500812 | 8,192.87351 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
gygcR9Ut8P | will-the-minecraft-movie-get-over-5 | Will the Minecraft movie get over 55% on Rotten Tomatoes? | null | 1,739,427,276,021 | 1,744,422,468,764 | 1,744,422,468,764 | NO | 0.01 | 2,260.046593 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
SC6n26qN80 | will-mark-carney-become-prime-minis | Will Mark Carney become Prime Minister of Canada? | null | 1,740,366,924,912 | 1,741,561,317,000 | 1,741,561,317,000 | YES | 0.989938 | 20,418.885258 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PdOOZtLACZ | 10-year-treasury-yield-at-45-on-712 | 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 7/1/2025? | null | 1,749,630,169,540 | 1,751,327,940,000 | 1,751,422,082,410 | NO | 0.082111 | 3,551.851836 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
hAUusNuhsu | daily-coinflip-Cy5A6ZsszL | Daily Coinflip | null | 1,751,650,752,547 | 1,751,774,340,000 | 1,751,781,227,065 | NO | 0.495836 | 7,942.003489 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
PR2SSuhcPu | will-the-senate-judiciary-committee-AtCg9ug8Qp | Will the Senate Judiciary Committee get to view the House Ethics Committee report on Matt Gaetz? | null | 1,731,703,601,710 | 1,738,483,140,000 | 1,738,511,654,660 | YES | 0.990084 | 1,201.530355 | Politics | Government Structure |
CqEgy2Z8Qz | will-fox-news-report-about-the-isra | Will fox news report about an Israeli sniper killing a young Palestinian child despite ceasefire? | null | 1,737,745,433,795 | 1,740,373,140,000 | 1,740,845,224,084 | NO | 0.010016 | 1,013.322346 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
P5SIg00pC9 | will-americans-favour-donald-trump | Will Americans favour Donald Trump over Joe Biden on inauguration day? | null | 1,730,924,494,802 | 1,737,446,340,000 | 1,737,449,524,787 | YES | 0.99 | 10,780.466966 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
C5Q0s65QEt | daily-coinflip-ZSIyE6uQuc | Daily coinflip | null | 1,744,865,358,736 | 1,745,035,140,000 | 1,745,114,085,072 | YES | 0.504926 | 43,362.483461 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
p0ly9C0hEU | will-budda-flee-the-country-before | Will Budda flee the country before the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,991,205,348 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,738,350,680,895 | NO | 0.01 | 9,590.783462 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CIAp5su9Nu | daily-coinflip-RzO6zNOIqh | Daily coinflip | null | 1,743,827,688,158 | 1,743,998,340,000 | 1,744,000,498,055 | YES | 0.5099 | 2,232.781208 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
Ugq8sySthP | egypts-gaza-ceasefire-restoration-p | Egypt's Gaza ceasefire restoration proposal accepted by Israel before April 15, 2025? | null | 1,742,848,119,413 | 1,744,761,540,000 | 1,744,761,812,775 | NO | 0.012552 | 1,558.006002 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
qhIEz2qtp5 | will-this-question-have-exactly-200 | Will this question have exactly 200 unique traders by March 19th? | null | 1,741,787,513,512 | 1,742,443,140,000 | 1,742,476,317,863 | NO | 0.01 | 1,017.894346 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
6unavmpfjd | will-we-learn-that-joe-biden-has-pa | Will we learn that Joe Biden has Parkinson's disease before the end of 2024? | null | 1,720,298,970,505 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,736,406,441,514 | NO | 0.012606 | 63,144.461394 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0AOAdSsPls | daily-coinflip-EZQct96d2A | Daily Coinflip | null | 1,751,956,422,895 | 1,752,119,940,000 | 1,752,133,249,272 | NO | 0.497316 | 7,704.404787 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
zyuZLOQgNL | both-lamar-jackson-and-nikola-jokic | Both Lamar Jackson and Nikola Jokic to repeat as MVP in 2024-25? | null | 1,731,295,388,267 | 1,741,965,863,209 | 1,741,965,863,209 | NO | 0.01 | 1,268.771995 | Sports | Individual Sports |
RqdUc9E2UC | users-codeforces-rating-reaches-can | User's Codeforces rating reaches Candidate Master (1900+) by February 2025 | null | 1,733,526,128,521 | 1,740,700,800,000 | 1,740,720,324,291 | NO | 0.01 | 1,686.041971 | Sports | Individual Sports |
83j3j2wp1a | will-apple-be-the-largest-company-i | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024? | null | 1,718,946,981,146 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,860,011,841 | YES | 0.99 | 4,824.759724 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
09u0IZdS5Q | will-a-switch-version-of-metroid-pr | Will a Switch version of Metroid Prime 2: Echoes release before March? | null | 1,738,347,985,567 | 1,740,787,140,000 | 1,740,811,071,930 | NO | 0.011431 | 9,307.493419 | Entertainment | Gaming |
Qp6q0UtdRO | will-the-righteous-gemstones-season | Will 'The Righteous Gemstones' Season 4 receive a Rotten Tomatoes critic score above 85% by June 1, 2025? | null | 1,744,284,720,843 | 1,748,822,340,000 | 1,749,892,397,186 | YES | 0.988634 | 4,686.611823 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
zx705wvc9j | will-the-nfl-202425-season-be-highe | Will the NFL 2024/25 season be higher scoring than 2023/24? | null | 1,723,930,529,949 | 1,739,692,740,000 | 1,739,747,419,944 | YES | 0.99 | 9,261.822478 | Sports | Professional Sports |
682z90du62 | will-the-gulf-of-mexico-be-renamed | Will the Gulf of Mexico be renamed during the Trump presidency? | null | 1,736,282,791,555 | 1,737,485,017,323 | 1,737,485,017,323 | YES | 0.99 | 36,929.12489 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
sCEP6CghgO | will-the-chance-of-yes-on-this-mark | Will the % chance of "YES" on this market close above 50%? | null | 1,742,224,856,102 | 1,742,615,940,000 | 1,742,630,274,546 | YES | 0.840026 | 4,312.206384 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
zbxppwj83k | will-i-get-a-donationpayment-of-110 | Will i get a Donation/Payment of 10000 or more Mana before 2025? | null | 1,724,683,679,731 | 1,735,685,999,000 | 1,735,705,725,647 | YES | 0.990075 | 137,815.245981 | Finance | Personal Finance |
luCCqIgRcl | will-justin-trudeau-officially-step | Will Justin Trudeau officially step down as Prime Minister of Canada before the end of February? | null | 1,736,183,425,867 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,819,128,136 | NO | 0.01 | 2,038.386576 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
krbzcruxys | will-there-be-an-assassination-atte-lay8qx2l11 | Will there be an assassination attempt on Joe Biden before the end of 2024? | null | 1,720,932,506,690 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,775,820,081 | NO | 0.042229 | 3,828.450039 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
z5lh2hC6Cy | will-this-market-close-between-45-a-t55pSC2CLl | Will this market close between 45% and 55%? | null | 1,747,187,303,672 | 1,747,791,840,000 | 1,747,791,873,049 | YES | 0.45 | 10,828.899586 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
toi4wk169h | will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-7kj1eys2yc | Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025? | null | 1,718,734,182,747 | 1,750,346,656,865 | 1,750,346,656,865 | NO | 0.008404 | 5,238.24095 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Agg8SuZPpg | will-carvana-stock-fall-to-100-afte | Will Carvana stock fall to $100 after Hindenberg report? (before March 1st) | null | 1,735,960,452,742 | 1,740,794,916,726 | 1,740,794,916,726 | NO | 0.01 | 103,801.266229 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
lS2g8nCltA | will-trump-intervene-in-the-crimina | Will Trump intervene in the criminal case against Eric Adams? | null | 1,731,115,049,676 | 1,738,193,512,977 | 1,738,193,512,977 | YES | 0.75 | 1,084.052135 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
qUzIlQEN9N | baron-trump-meme-coin-before-march | Will Baron Trump release his own meme coin before March 1st? | null | 1,738,014,602,474 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,841,298,201 | NO | 0.014526 | 8,718.877976 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nvbwctisu2 | will-chat-gpt-5-release-before-blue | Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025? | null | 1,719,003,223,648 | 1,737,435,540,000 | 1,737,436,239,992 | NO | 0.01 | 30,412.849893 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
zcyN0qLu2y | does-vladimir-putin-show-up-in-pers | Does Vladimir Putin show up in person to cease fire talks in Türkiye May 15, 2025? | null | 1,746,985,518,144 | 1,747,408,549,070 | 1,747,408,549,070 | NO | 0.012064 | 3,337.456686 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
LL5uOE0L5p | will-the-washington-commanders-domi-Q5ycES8utg | Will the Washington Commanders conquer the Detroit Lions? | null | 1,736,803,509,369 | 1,737,260,682,522 | 1,737,260,682,522 | YES | 0.989932 | 25,028.318572 | Sports | Professional Sports |
25iwe9kupq | will-evan-vuccis-photograph-of-trum | Will Evan Vucci's photograph of Trump pumping his fist be at least a finalist for a Pulitzer? | null | 1,720,927,664,156 | 1,748,590,499,858 | 1,748,590,499,858 | NO | 0.01 | 24,640.251896 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zfi78oaapm | will-the-sohu-ai-chip-ship-to-custo | Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year? | null | 1,719,813,935,549 | 1,750,834,740,000 | 1,751,472,963,606 | NO | 0.026083 | 6,053.783479 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Ln6tzscRPu | will-silksong-be-a-switch-2-launch | Will Silksong be a Switch 2 launch title (or be available within a month of launch)? | null | 1,739,924,561,794 | 1,751,774,340,000 | 1,751,798,370,750 | NO | 0.002603 | 5,915.721763 | Entertainment | Gaming |
ae2zu7cf9c | will-most-businesses-have-access-to-quxyykkeo4 | Will most businesses have access to buy ads on an OpenAI product by 1 July 2025? | null | 1,728,161,418,662 | 1,751,334,581,124 | 1,751,334,581,124 | NO | 0.010125 | 102,772.426097 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
90Olqqu2gz | will-ishiba-be-prime-minister-of-ja | Will Ishiba be Prime Minister of Japan by the End of Golden Week 2025? | null | 1,732,717,698,907 | 1,746,543,540,000 | 1,746,831,672,321 | YES | 0.99 | 2,165.620993 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
L6d5utRls9 | will-a-chinese-ai-developer-announc | Will a Chinese AI developer announce a model rivaling o3 performance by February 2025? | null | 1,734,731,247,091 | 1,738,483,140,000 | 1,738,483,541,299 | NO | 0.01 | 2,928.069067 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2af0dzfwmw | will-nvidia-nvda-end-33-at-or-above | Will Nvidia NVDA end 3/3 at or above $333 USD per share? | null | 1,719,151,536,489 | 1,741,064,340,000 | 1,741,316,667,877 | NO | 0.01 | 2,206.710066 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
qc5Ngul5Ll | clean-swiftie-special-will-the-chie | ["Clean" Swiftie Special] Will the Chiefs win all four quarters? | null | 1,738,968,289,215 | 1,739,143,740,000 | 1,739,150,271,900 | NO | 0.051533 | 13,628.005179 | Sports | Professional Sports |
QgZCLZZQtl | merab-dvalishvili-submits-sean-omal | Merab Dvalishvili submits Sean O’Malley at UFC 316? | null | 1,748,296,702,263 | 1,749,364,895,560 | 1,749,364,895,560 | YES | 0.99 | 1,272.006264 | Sports | Individual Sports |
LsOCppQn8U | this-market-resolves-to-min5x-100-w | This market resolves to min(5x, 100)%, where x is the number of traders | null | 1,733,870,882,393 | 1,735,878,461,888 | 1,735,878,461,888 | YES | 0.973022 | 1,276.349324 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
l8NP9t6Agh | will-iran-use-iraq-to-stage-an-atta | Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,433,624,850 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,735,720,963,428 | NO | 0.034372 | 4,658.984343 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
8LP0ll2Uz5 | will-houthis-escalate-their-activit | Will houthis 🇾🇪 escalate their activities again before EOY 2025? | null | 1,739,358,608,099 | 1,746,725,414,369 | 1,747,164,819,388 | YES | 0.984323 | 1,440.951731 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
02n9uqqCSl | will-tulsi-gabbard-be-confirmed-as | Will Tulsi Gabbard be confirmed as Intelligence Director? | null | 1,731,559,221,810 | 1,739,389,994,725 | 1,739,389,994,725 | YES | 0.991063 | 503,513.798752 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
9zc8clu8IR | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-unIhzZnLC6 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Mar 14 than it closed on Mar 13? | null | 1,741,956,222,866 | 1,741,983,483,828 | 1,741,983,483,828 | YES | 0.99 | 9,633.409763 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
90IL6q6tyh | david-kisses-someone-while-visiting | David kisses someone while visiting the Bay? | null | 1,743,192,449,924 | 1,744,329,540,000 | 1,744,556,685,698 | NO | 0.189606 | 1,590.762176 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
ha8siwsis8 | will-michel-barnier-be-the-primer-m | Will Michel Barnier be the prime minister of France on Jan 1st 2025? | null | 1,725,536,609,166 | 1,735,772,340,000 | 1,735,801,143,370 | NO | 0.01 | 60,710.597818 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kuqzmhm88u | if-trump-wins-will-harris-publicly | If Trump wins, will Harris publicly deny the official 2024 election results? | null | 1,723,134,410,625 | 1,737,435,540,000 | 1,738,480,628,990 | NO | 0.011411 | 1,276 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zlhA9A6n2S | daily-coinflip-EcL2pI0EP2 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,747,113,107,731 | 1,747,281,540,000 | 1,747,291,007,876 | YES | 0.5 | 2,824.696325 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
lsplIEPgdn | will-o3-openai-model-be-released-be | Will o3 (OpenAI model) be released before March 2025? | null | 1,738,120,100,741 | 1,740,891,540,000 | 1,740,965,836,933 | NO | 0.02257 | 23,133.470456 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
g555cQquNc | will-the-assassin-of-the-minnesota-RS2hugEydg | Will the assassin of the Minnesota lawmakers be apprehended alive? | null | 1,749,914,909,572 | 1,750,620,464,809 | 1,750,620,464,809 | YES | 0.991909 | 1,474.228375 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
c4vt1i7rnp | will-rfk-be-allowed-to-participate | Will RFK be allowed to participate in any presidential debate alongside Trump or Harris? (2024) | null | 1,721,776,560,497 | 1,735,793,940,000 | 1,735,795,202,026 | NO | 0.00906 | 1,413.835087 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
AzgIhs665d | wip-will-the-fertility-crisis-becom | [WIP] Will the fertility crisis become an issue for blue tribe before July? | null | 1,746,206,211,958 | 1,751,380,440,000 | 1,751,980,667,806 | NO | 0.021488 | 15,541.759283 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
tShQ8R2QUn | will-elon-musk-buy-hasbro-within-6 | Will Elon Musk buy Hasbro within 6 months? | null | 1,732,812,655,425 | 1,748,451,540,000 | 1,748,520,292,624 | NO | 0.01 | 22,647.888898 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
1qriku6ak2 | will-a-la-liga-regular-season-match-4e6bn123bi | Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States this year? | null | 1,723,817,397,865 | 1,735,772,340,000 | 1,735,772,522,072 | NO | 0.01 | 10,740.152286 | Sports | Professional Sports |
qIuUAp0y6p | i-resolve-this-market-by-may-31-202 | I resolve this market by May 31, 2025 | null | 1,746,227,852,573 | 1,746,227,992,114 | 1,746,227,992,114 | YES | 0.755446 | 1,320 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9Lp0NzNAph | scott-alexander-debates-usaid-at-ma | Scott Alexander debates USAID at Manifest? | null | 1,748,528,462,032 | 1,749,434,400,000 | 1,749,611,517,768 | NO | 0.134813 | 2,615.768082 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
IU2yZ6QyqL | will-i-implement-my-ai-markets-prof | Will I implement my AI markets profitting strategy in H1 2025, and will it work? | null | 1,735,943,084,118 | 1,751,342,340,000 | 1,751,390,634,120 | NO | 0.125722 | 2,051.175965 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
4aaszsmzp2 | will-there-be-credible-evidence-tha-ahcvpo9l6p | Will there be credible evidence that they UK could have unilaterally approved used of Storm Shadow missiles in Russia? | null | 1,723,671,261,921 | 1,735,718,340,000 | 1,738,351,683,553 | NO | 0.58841 | 2,953.568297 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
OQq9ZdL80U | ncaa-basketball-2025-will-duke-flor | NCAA Basketball 2025: Will Duke, Florida, AND Alabama all win their games on 3/14? | null | 1,741,957,476,386 | 1,742,011,681,572 | 1,742,011,681,572 | YES | 0.99 | 11,907.867344 | Sports | Team Sports |
5CPR62ysCq | there-will-be-more-than-a-25-increa | There will be more than a 25% increase in VR users as a result of this Christmas cycle. | null | 1,735,083,617,076 | 1,740,902,340,000 | 1,741,453,035,726 | NO | 0.090648 | 2,704.171314 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
sLsUS0c9NQ | will-the-supreme-court-grant-cert-i-yP8UCqyyRq | Will the Supreme Court grant cert in Perez v. United States? | null | 1,740,596,216,401 | 1,743,487,140,000 | 1,743,515,872,712 | NO | 0.169106 | 1,257 | Politics | Government Structure |
XqOAM8EVhiMLjXad9A18 | will-apples-market-cap-exceed-micro | Will Apple’s Market Cap Exceed Microsoft’s at the End of 2024? | null | 1,715,999,836,143 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,737,061,346 | YES | 0.986633 | 21,074.649068 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
hPqR8lgqLq | trump-approval-rating-450-or-higher | Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on Feb 20th? | null | 1,735,971,473,520 | 1,740,124,740,000 | 1,740,183,988,489 | YES | 0.99 | 98,342.337594 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sVlJtVqYfXAjnZKjDY4O | nfl-week-17-dec-28-2024-will-the-wa | NFL Week 17 (Dec 28 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Atlanta Falcons (away)? | null | 1,715,834,666,707 | 1,735,621,200,000 | 1,737,477,040,099 | YES | 0.997391 | 3,873.773317 | Sports | Professional Sports |
qZRLLPOhnl | is-manus-another-deepseek-moment | Is Manus another "DeepSeek moment"? | null | 1,741,438,414,907 | 1,746,676,740,000 | 1,746,699,913,382 | NO | 0.016619 | 47,050.271151 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
SqLCNO6yQq | will-the-us-impose-200-tariffs-on-e-UZRg90d0uO | Will the US impose 200%+ tariffs on european alcohol imports by the end of April 2025? | null | 1,743,015,986,585 | 1,746,143,940,000 | 1,746,148,703,178 | NO | 0.013243 | 1,078.717367 | Geopolitics | Trade & Economics |
6zIRuUZcLp | will-blc1-be-confirmed-as-alien-tec | Will BLC-1 be confirmed as alien technology before 2025? | null | 1,730,135,067,645 | 1,735,703,940,000 | 1,735,725,560,476 | NO | 0.031567 | 13,577.390152 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
qp2l2sUOs9 | will-mark-carney-be-the-prime-minis | Will Mark Carney be the Prime Minister after the election in Canada? | null | 1,744,137,453,241 | 1,745,881,200,000 | 1,745,904,765,905 | YES | 0.838671 | 80,265.765385 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
n925az9t4i | pavel-durov-leaves-france-in-2024--cash | Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024? | null | 1,729,699,702,460 | 1,735,707,540,000 | 1,735,761,707,008 | NO | 0.010985 | 1,481.860909 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
End of preview. Expand
in Data Studio
README.md exists but content is empty.
- Downloads last month
- 4